Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000033 0.000036 0.000039 0.000043 0.000046 0.000051
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000056
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000043 0.000050 0.000060
2025-12-28 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000062
2026-01-04 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064
2026-01-11 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068
2026-01-18 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000043 0.000056 0.000074
2026-01-25 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000053 0.000070 0.000096
2026-02-01 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000051 0.000069 0.000097
2026-02-08 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000069 0.000097
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000036 0.000050 0.000070 0.000101
2026-02-22 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000070 0.000103
2026-03-01 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000069 0.000104
2026-03-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000032 0.000047 0.000069 0.000106
2026-03-15 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000031 0.000046 0.000069 0.000108
2026-03-22 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000045 0.000068 0.000109
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000067 0.000110
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000044 0.000069 0.000115
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000125
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000055 0.000092 0.000164
2026-04-26 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000053 0.000090 0.000163
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000052 0.000088 0.000163
2026-05-10 0.000008 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031 0.000052 0.000089 0.000168